Archive for November, 2008

Website back up

Apologies for the extended downtime. The server that Site5, the hosting provider I use, allocated my account crashed during a maintenance reboot and initiated a disk check. Something went awry there and initiated a restore process.

Inexplicably, the restore process kept going for 3 days with little to no specific details from the Site5 hosting staff. There is a thread that many unhappy customers were being very alarmed at the extended downtime over the holiday break and more importantly, the lack of information or even care from the Site5 staff. To put this into perspective, I’ve been a Site5 customer for 2 years now and have had an uptime of > 99.4% per month on my servers. This outage dropped that to 95.2%. And this is a business were companies ‘guarantee’ > 99% uptime. So this is really, really, bad.

Finally the Chief Operating Officer for Site5 stepped in and said how the situation was unacceptable and handled extremely poorly, and a mass credit will be applied for all server customers. Or something. We’ll see.

Apologies to Donny and the other people who use my server as well.

Comments (2)

Mumbai Attacks

This morning as I prepared for a full of work, I saw reports on TV that the city of Mumbai was under attack by terrorists. Two prominent hotels had been attacked by militants and several bombings were reported around the city.

I was reminded of the Mumbai train bombings last year where 250 people were killed. Mumbai is where a significant number of my Mom’s family lives, including her two brothers and mother. They live in the northern suburbs of Anderi West and Kandivali, and it is where we spend most of our time in our visits to India.

Today’s attacks (technically late yesterday evening) were centered in the financial district in southern Mumbai, most prominently in the Taj Hotel – a symbol of the city which stands across from the famous Gateway to India. And these attacks were different than unattended bombings — militants stormed into hotels, shot indiscriminately, sought out foreigners and took them hostage, and did this at another prominent hotel (the Oberoi), Victoria Station (the central railway station in Mumbai) and the Cama charitable hospital. Explosions and fires rocked the top floor of the Taj Hotel. The top 3 police and security  officials (including head of the Anti-Terror-Force) were killed in action.

Rumors of shots fired up in Borivali had me worried — Kandivali is just south of Borivali and my uncle lives closer to Borivali, but no further info was reported. So far, no one I know was harmed.

Another comment about this story: the role of new media. I chose to follow this on my computer, so a Tokbox room was setup to interact with family back home, my IM client was active with four or five conversations. My main source of news actually came from a Twitter search. I went to search.twitter.com and typed in ‘Mumbai’ and could see all the tweets people were sending from Mumbai and India and around the world. What struck me is that news was being broken at least 15 minutes before the cable news picked it up, and the people on twitter were constantly posting links to other forms of media – the first pictures of a terrorist, live TV streams from India (I ended up keeping the CNN IBN live feed open for most of the afternoon, this was a network that would interrupt coverage to report live explosions and gunfire occurring), photos on Flickr uploaded by a Mumbaikar who went and shot photos of a bombing scene, and even a Google Maps mashup that showed the location of confirmed attacks. Was there a lot of noise? Absolutely. But did I feel better informed and had my desire for urgent information satisfied? Yes, more so than I would have gotten by simply flipping between CNN, MSNBC, or Fox News cable news.

Comments (1)

The Big Game 2008, Night in the City

Yesterday was the Big Game, and a group of us left Stanford early in the morning to make the trip deep into enemy territory to cheer on our team. Joey, Bikiran, Nader, and two of Nader’s fellow Studio 1 residents (Adrian and Meir) were in tow.

The Caltrain + BART put us in Berkeley about an hour before the 12:30pm kick-off, and we all inhaled some pizza and much needed coffee (waking up at 8am on  Saturday? what?)  and started making our way to Berkeley’s Memorial Stadium. Nader and I were buoyed by the awesome news that NC State defeated UNC 41-10 that morning (I was tracking the game while on the train).

The Stanford students started getting pumped up as we made our way to the student gate. Cheers and chants were shouted at the surrounding Cal fans, and even the cheer “Hennessy! Hennessy! Hennessy!” went up as we spotted Stanford’s President Hennessy making his way through the crowd as well, stopping to shake a few students’ hands.

This was the first time I’ve watched a football in an opposing team’s stadium, and in this type of ‘bowl’ stadium as well. Though it seats 75,000, it isn’t anywhere near as nice as Carter-Finley or Stanford’s Stadium. The game started off pretty well but soon Stanford became totally unraveled. We watched helplessly as Cal dumped 28 straight points on us. Everything was going right for them, and they even pulled off some sweet trick plays for TDs. It was still fun to be there and cheer on the team and our band.

 


Who said grad students have no school spirit?

After the game I went up with Adrian and Meir the hills behind Berkeley, where Derek, Danika, and I took in some gorgeous views of the bay at the UAEM conference. It’s pretty cool that from the center of Berkeley’s campus, there is a direct view to the Golden Gate Bridge off in the distance.

 

Half the group left to head back to Stanford, but Adrian and I walked around Berkeley and Telegraph Avenue before meeting back up with Nader. I called my friend Melih to see if he wanted to do dinner, and soon we were back on the BART headed towards Powell St.  We went to Santorini’s mediterranean restaurant where the food was actually quite good though the service was inattentive. I got a call from Mom with the good news that they were in ATL about to catch the plane home to RDU. Whew. We spent a while there talking and catching up before heading to the Mission District, where we met a group of Melih’s friends who also went to NC State. I always like meeting other Wolfpackers who have come out here. Some random tidbits: Liz (Lisa?) was on the NCSU crew team from 2004-2007 and knew Greg, Donny, and Ben. Another guy is working at Google (on Google Analytics) and I started overhearing a conversation he was having…with me catching words like “brain”, “light”, “controlling neurons”. I interjected – “wait, are you talking about Karl Deisseroth?” And he said, yeah, Deisseroth had come to Google to give a tech talk to the employees there and how it was really cool. We chatted about it because I had learned about Deisseroth’s work during my neuroengineering class and had written a report on his optogenic neuromodulation technique. Pretty neat chance occurrance!

 

Nader, Adrian, and I had to catch the last train back to Palo Alto, so we took off. I couldn’t help but notice that the BART stations were plastered with iPod Nano advertisements, almost to the point of absurdity:


(click for full size and count for 10 ads)

A great, fun day to kick off Thanksgiving break. The rest of the week? Work.

Comments (1)

Thought leader: David Green

Last Monday, I attended a talk by David Green, a recognized social entrepreneur and thought leader in pricing strategies for developing countries. My friend Yin Yin insisted I attend but I didn’t think much about it, but after listening to Green for 2 hours I was so happy I attended. A lot of entrepreneur talks lack the kind of meaty details that practicing entrepreneurs seek (indeed, earlier that very day I was left unsatisfied by the lack of specificity at the philanthropy panel discussion), but Green provided actual numbers and helpful details of how he done what he’s done. As someone who was trying to work out pricing and scaling strategies for a high-tech product meant for the poor in developing countries, this was a truly engaging talk. This posting is my attempt at describing this information.

David Green has achieved remarkable success in bringing medical practices and technologies to people who lack the ability to pay the prices that those in the developing world routinely pay for such treatment. His talk was titled ‘Humanizing Capitalism’ and was wide-ranging in topic and scope. A small number of us, including myself, went upstairs for dessert with David to talk further. David Green, Ashoka Fellow (2002) and MacArthur Fellow(2006), keeps himself busy with more than 10 projects at at time. One of his critical successes has been Aurolab, which provide cataract surgeries and eye care products to people in India and works closely with Aravind Eye Hospital. He is currently working on projects with low-cost hearing aids and solar power.

First: pricing.  Pricing strategy is what Green excels at. How do you address pricing disparity to make products affordable to those who really need them? How can pricing strategies be used to create self-sustaining (read: profitable) businesses that still keep the social good at its core mission? Green has gone about this from both angles: a) how much money does it really cost to make a final product and b) what sort of pricing system can yield the best possible business model? For example, there is a device for cardiovascular problems that is priced at $6,000 for people in the developed world. However, it costs less than a thousand to make. The manufacturer wants to go in developing world markets, but can’t figure out how to price it such that enough people would buy it and to avoid backlash in the developed-world when those customers see that the same product is selling at much lower prices elsewhere.

Let’s look at Aravind Eye Hospital. Blindless is an enormous problem and a majority of cases come from cataracts, which is when the intra-ocular lens becomes clouded. This kind of surgery is routine in some parts of the world, but there are million so of underserved people in India. With the idea of “if McDonalds can do it for burgers, why can’t we do it for eye care”, Green and a colleague set about creating Aurolab, a nonprofit company that manufacturers intra-ocular lenses and other materials/products used for eye care. Aurolab is situated next door to Aravind, but sells products worldwide (has around 7% world market share too). The difference between cost of an intra-ocular lens of Aurolab and its competitor is astonishing: $2 vs $160.

Aravind Eye Hospital (founded back in 1976) has performed 3+ million surgeries to date and last year’s profit was $8 million. It uses a tiered system of payment. Around 50% of its patients pay nothing, a quarter pay around $12, and the remaining quarter pays much more than $100. The differentiation comes in the experience of the patient and is driven entirely by consumer choice. The free service customers don’t have the nicest waiting room or living accomodation. Those who pay money would get a nicer waiting room or outpatient room (hypothetically, maybe the difference between being 2 in a room vs 10 in a room). And for better or worse, the consumer choice comes in because more wealthy patients will pay more for the surgery to avoid sitting with the lower income people. This being said, it is critical to note that the quality of care is the same. The same surgeons, the same materials, etc. When it comes to the actual procedure, everyone is the same.

What are ways that Aravind lowered their costs?

  • Increasing staff efficiency. Aravind surgeons perform 2000 cataract surgeries a year, 6x the Indian average.
  • Lowering operating expenses. By prepping a larger operating room and treating more people at a time, setup costs are reduced.
  • Smart international purchasing.
  • Community outreach. Community resources can be mobilized on a fairly massive scale for short period of times. Aravind sets up eye clinics in communities that serve as advance diagnosis, screening,  and identification centers. It works with communities to provide transportation and meals to get people to and from the hospital, and later to assist in out-patient care and followup with Aravind doctors.

The “David Green Formula

How do you go about figuring out a price? Appropriate prices change depending on your geographic and social position. When Green was working on expanding the Aravind system to Egypt, he had to determine the pricing structure.

First, figure out the paying capacity.  Segment the society into high/middle/poor and determine each segment’s average monthly income. For each segment, forecast what % of those you might have as customers.

Now, for Aravind there is a formula: per surgery cost = total operating expenses / # of surgeries performed = the average monthly income for the bottom 60% (income wise) of the population.  A word of caution: this is what I quickly jotted down during the talk, so don’t take this at 100% face value, and this is how it has worked out for Aravind. Smart purchasing and community outreach are drivers to reducing operating expenses a big reason why Green knew Aurolab was an important link in the chain), and staff efficiency is a way to increase # of surgeries. Green said that when he arrived in Egypt, he started talking to everyone he met to get some data points, and then guessed the pricing breakdown. After the deep dive was concluded, the numbers matched Green’s quick estimate. He’s good at this. Very good.

By no means are the results 100% reproducible. Each place has their own sustainable point. In Egypt, 55% of patients are free and 45% are paying. In Nepal, only 7% are free, 4% pay $12, and  89% pay over $35. But we’re still talking millions in profit.

A word on Aurolab. When I say non-profit producer of eye care products, I don’t mean low quality. Aurolab’s products meet the FDA mark regulatory requirements and get the same approvals as the commercial ones that sell for much more.  Aurolab has customers in 120 different countries. Aravind and Aurolab also carry out major education and training projects — a school to train eye care personnel and researchers.

Financing for Social Ventures, Finding Talent

Something Green has been examining is the financing process for companies that have social good as their fundamental goal, rather than shareholder return. Self-sustaining businesses are one that turn profit, and in our case, re-invest the profit into the company. One observation he’s made: registered non-profit organizations are not allowed to use leverage to increase the valuation of its assets, which is something that for-profit companies can and do routinely. The trick is to have a for-profit company with strong and bulletproof governance principles to ensure the social mission is the top priority, but the advantages of this structure are significant. I need to think through more of what this observation means. Another tactic that has become viable in the last few years is obtaining funding from foundations. Typically they aren’t allowed to give to for-profit companies, but there is some form of ’social mission of investment’ clause where they can give foundation money as long as the mission of the investment is for social return — or rather, it’s about aligning the social mission with the foundation’s tax-exempt status.

The challenge in taking equity financing is creating the right structure. Green has worked with the Deutsch Bank to serve as the ‘first-loss cushion investment’ for these types of social ventures.

One person asked Green how he gets these collaborative projects started. He said that he doesn’t work with companies; he works with individuals. Individuals with extreme technical competence and with deep rooted integrity.

Hearing Aid Project & Solar PV

Hearing loss is a big problem and developed world solutions are expensive, requires multiple setup and fitting visits, etc. Green is working with experts in the Chicago area in a new venture, Conversion Sound,  to create a hearing aid device for the developing world. They are using innovative technology to dramatically shorten the fitting and calibration process.

Another thing endeavor Green has taken up is to figure out  a better way of bringing solar cell electricity generation to low-income people in developing countries. He seems to be approaching it more from the financing side and logistics — where & how can the production and distribution costs be lowered. He helped bring people from different backgrounds (entrepreneurs, academics, foundation, venture firms, investment guys, technologists) for a 1 day summit to figure out the problem areas and possible ways of moving forward. Green envisions a sort of Solar Fund that will invest in opportunities towards this purpose.

A final thought.

Green described what drives him with a sort of Chinese accupuncture analogy.  How do we redirect flows of energy from where its concentrated most to where it is needed most?

It was a great talk and Green was such a down-to-Earth and honest person to talk with.  He spoke plainly on some of the luck that he has had: he found a trusted colleague because a current partner was in the midst of an embezzlement charge and felt so bad that he was stealing from a non-profit org that he told Green that a competitor was a really good honest man. At a summit, he happened to sit next to the 2nd-in-command and Wal-Mart’s health and wellness group who was excited to hear about Green’s hearing aid project that she invited him to speak to Wal-Mart’s executive team. Or a contact in Mexico he made through a network that proved to be extraordinarily well-connected and influential. It really showed me the power of networking.

Comments

Winner: Aha! Prize @ the Innovation Tournament

The video that Amit and I submitted to the Stanford Innovation Tournament took home the Aha! Prize, for revealing a fact in an intriguing away. We were one of the 8 videos that were given awards at Kresge Auditorium tonight. Special guest Guy Kawasaki of Garage Technology Ventures (and who readers might recall we met on the 2007 EEP Silicon Valley trip) helped MC the event. I’ll post the video again:

And here’s a shot of the award: nice seats for the red-hot San Jose Sharks.

Our ROI was pretty good too. This whole video took about 6 to 7 hours of work.

Comments (4)

There Will Be Blood

This Saturday, 12:30pm PST, at Berkeley.

The Big Game.

 

We don’t mess around.

 

 

All right now,

thumbs up let’s do this.

Comments (2)

Strategic Philanthropy

On Monday, I attended a panel discussion on strategic philanthropy, held because of  a career fair for philanthropy. The panel featured Ivan Barkhorn, a partner with Redstone Strategy Group; Smita Singh, Director of the Hewlett Foundation’s Global Development Program; Barry Newstead, The Bridgespan Group; and Paul Brest, Director of the Hewlett Foundation. Here are some notes I jotted down:

Barkhorn:

  • There has been a movement in the past 6-8 years of ’strategic philanthropy’. Philanthropic contributions have an admittedly poor track record at actually having impact or significant ROI considering the massive amounts of money that are moved around. The ‘new way’ is to harness metrics and analytics towards measuring impact.
  • This approach requires clarity of goals, or else no strategy will achieve desired results.
  • Evidence-based approach needs empirical data.
  • Foundations must be cognizant of varying risk/return profiles. High risk/high return — big issues like global warming, global poverty. Low risk / low return — soup kitchens. Each as a role.

Singh:

  • Three main intellectual challenges in philanthropy
    •  What are the problems in the world
    • Why do they exist
    • What do to about them; more specifically, what is the role of private money? We aren’t states.
  • Must outline and be clear about goals. One of their goals is to improve income levels for those making under $2/day. The next step is then to develop theories of change. What sort of interventions can effect change?
  • Care must be made to identify the critical drivers of the problems you wish to tackle in order to ask the right questions and implement the appropriate metrics needed to evaluate your interventions.
    • For instance, we’ve seen 50M increase in school enrollment for children in sub-Saharan Africa, but there is no literacy achieved by grade 4. 50% of the government school students in India lack basic math skills such as adding two numbers in third grade. Was the goal to increase student enrollment or to increase literacy/math skills in children?
  • In medicine, it was be absurd to roll out a drug to a large population without smaller scale, highly monitored and studied clinical trials to determine efficacy. However, this is done all the time in development programs! Why?
  • Finding data can be hard. What are useful proxies for key indicators?

Newstead:

  • Implementing metrics doesn’t have to be hard. It does require a focus and a willingless to study the problem. Example:
    • 6-12 grade school in Houston. 95% Hispanic, 4% black. 90% under the poverty line. One metric: how many kids go on to college?
    • They wanted to know what were the key variables that determine success.
    • They were tracking the number of 12th graders who went on to college, but weren’t tracking those sixth graders who then went to college. So they went through the list and tracked down the progress of every sixth grader and figured out when/if that student dropped out, etc.
    • A big part is knowing the right questions to ask and where to look.

Much of the talking was for the benefit of those seeking careers in philanthropy, so they stressed the ablity to think analytically, the importance of field experience, etc. I was a bit unsatisfied though. The speakers had spoken about research they had done in determining the key drivers for poverty reduction in development projects, of processes they had worked on or determining the size of grants for field trials. But they never touched upon what specifically these all were. During the open mic Q&A period, I went and asked them about this. “I have friends who realize the importance of metrics for measuring and evaluating impact, and they are working in many fields from agrobusiness to public health to education. A common refrain I hear is that they don’t know what the research shows regarding key metrics. Where specifically can we find the results you just mentioned? What journals or reports or websites?”

At first they didn’t quite understand, so I tried being more direct. Ms. Singh said that there is a working group called the International Association for Impact Assessment that is trying to bring together all the organizations working in this space and doing meta-analyses in various sectors to determine the best practices for impact metrics. She also mentioned a book, Millions Saved by Ruth Levine which is about the publc health sector.

A good start, I suppose.

Comments (1)

Tournament Video & USC-Stanford Game

On Saturday morning, Amit came by and over pancakes and coffee we planned out a short video for the 2008 Stanford Innovation Tournament, part of the Global Entrepreneurship Week. The idea is this: you have four days to create as much ‘value’ as possible out of an ordinary everyday object. Make a short video and upload it to YouTube. The first year was Post-It notes, and last year was rubber bands. This year: bottled water. Oh the irony. Because you know, I happened to be involved with an amazing team on some water related issues this past year.

We were forced to participate in the last tournament through my Strategy course, and I didn’t want to make a really elaborate video this time. So I fell back on something I had thought of back in my senior year at NC State — the absurd fact that amidst all the screaming about gas prices, Americans pay more for bottled water than they do for gas. And the consumption of bottled water has only been increasing. A multi-billion dollar market for something that is substitutable by something just as healthy and clean  and 4000 times less expensive. So with my two Powershot cameras in tow, we went around campus and shot some scenes. By the time we finished, it was time for the University of Southern California (USC) at Stanford game, so we met up with Nader and Joey and walked over to the tailgate.

This game is of special significance to both teams. Last year, Stanford went down to Los Angeles and stunned USC by scoring the go-ahead touchdown with less than 1 minute to play. It was Tavita Pritchard’s first career start, and he converted a 4th and 20 down to Richard Sherman four plays before the pivotal 4th and Goal touchdown fade pass to the endzone, where Mark Bradford leapt up and caught the ball. Stanford then intercepted the ball and the game was over: 24-23 and thus snapping USC’s 35-game home winning streak.

The loss knocked USC out of contention for the national championship game and was noted as the biggest upset ever in college football. Needless to say, USC had a mighty big chip on their shoulder as they came up to Stanford this year. The stadium was packed (a lot of USC fans) and they even brought their entire Trojan marching band.

Before the game, we saw our glorious band march by, with several people in full X-Men costumes. On the field, we spotted the Trojan band with their Roman soldier uniforms (with capes!) line up in formation along the entire endzone, two men deep. I vividly remember a scene where the Trojan marching band filled up the entire screen in precise rows and columns, while the Stanford marching band, outnumbered nearly 3 to 1, huddles in a circle in one endzone. After every single USC play, their band would play the same stupid melody. In 4th quarter, as the Trojans scored their 3rd TD in a row, their band even mocked us by playing OUR fight song.

The first half was amazing. We piled on 100+ running yards on them, scored a TD on our first possession, and led the whole way.  Our special teams let up huge yardage on kick returns, including one momentum killing kick return for a TD just before halftime, where the score was 17-17. But USC started pulling away and ended up winning big.

After the game Joey, Nader, and I went to Max’s for dinner then back at the apartment I worked on editing the Innovation Tournament video.

Comments (2)

Accenture & TokBox

Probably two companies you wouldn’t hear in the same sentence. Last Friday morning, I went up to the City for my final round interview with Accenture. There were a number of fellow Stanford students there, and one brightened up when I said I did my undergrad at NC State – “I’m from Raleigh!”. He went to Enloe High School, so we chatted about NC for a while. It always feels good to find fellow North Carolinians out here. The interviews went well I think, and they even had some food for us. Accenture is good about having analysts and consultants around to answer questions and talk about their experiences. Overall I had a good time.

I finished up around 2:30pm, and walked around Market St. to get my bearings. I called up my friend Melih to see if he was free for a coffee, and was soon on the MUNI down to the AT&T ballpark (where the SF Giants play). Melih is a friend from NC State – we met in the EE program but he went over to Computer Science and stayed on to get his Master’s (he has also taken many courses in economics). His father taught at NC State and is an accomplished entrepreneur. He is also an outstanding photographer and was a lead photographer for the Technician student newspaper. He came out to San Francisco at the end of summer to work at TokBox, an 18 month old startup which pioneered entirely web-based and easy-to-use video chat. This startup caught my eye a long time ago (one of the few I saw on TechCrunch that I actually went and used) and continues to impress me today. I was so glad that Melih started there — he pierced through the bubble of the NC State CS program.

We greeted each other and walked down to the Panera bread for a light late lunch and coffee. It was easy to recall why I enjoy talking with him — Melih has a keen awareness of the world (we both come from immigrant families) and is quickly able to grasp the fundamentals of almost any topic below all the surface sheen. He spoke to me about the kind of learning experiences he is getting at TokBox, and it’s immediately clear that he has a better handle on the core issues than some budding (and even practicing) webpreneurs I’ve interacted with (Simon, as I’ve mentioned before, is the same way..freakishly sharp.). There’s another quality that I like, and is hard for me to succintly describe. My friends and family know oh too well how loquacious I tend to be, but honestly, in my opinion maybe half of what I actually say is meaningful. With Melih it always seems closer to 100%. Keep an on this guy, folks. He is going places.

After lunch he invited me up to the TokBox office, housed in a converted warehouse. It oozes with Silicon Valley startup vibe — exposed ceiling, spreadout bullpen style cubicles and tables, dim lighting, an amazing breakroom and kitchen (with an enormous 12 foot long island) and a lounge with comfy chairs and a plasma TV. I also discovered that TokBox shares the floor with EventBrite, the amazing event management website that we used last year for the Krispy Kreme Challenge and that blew me away with how awesome their solution was. I love those guys.

Finally, I headed back down to Palo Alto. What a nice day in the City!

Comments (1)

Give me a little bit of time

It’s almost 4am here, just wanted to post a quick note. There’s a lot of posts that I need to write up and publish: meeting up with my friend Melih up in SF on Friday, the Accenture interview, Amit and I making a video for the 2008 Innovation Tournament at Stanford, the USC game, a panel discussion on careers in philanthropy (a lot of dicussion on metrics for measuring impact), and an outstanding talk by David Green.

In the meantime, here are some photos from the USC at Stanford game, some video from gameday, and our entry to the Innovation Tournament.

One prize (donated by Raytheon) is that they will fly you out to New Mexico for a Patriot missile launch. I am not making this up.

Comments (2)

Muhammad Yunus: Banker to the Poor

This morning I hopped on the train to Santa Clara University to hear a keynote by Dr. Muhammad Yunus. Dr. Yunus is the founder of the Grameen Bank (or village bank) and a pioneer in the microfinancing movement that has lifted millions of people out of poverty. He was awarded the 2006 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts (and picked up 28 honorary doctorates). Dr. Yunus was the morning keynote for a program on Transformative Changes through Science and Technology: The Role for Social Benefit Entrepreneurs. Last night, the winners of the Tech Awards were announced at a gala.

Dr. Yunus is an inspiration — an optimistic man who believed in the good of people. In 1976, he was a professor of economics at Dhaka University (he is Bangladeshi) when he became frustrated at the plight of the poor in Bangladesh. So he gave out loans of $27 to 42 poor villagers. This wasn’t a handout — he asked them to repay him whenever they could. But they used the money to help a fledging business and all of them paid him back. Dr. Yunus spoke of the early difficulties: he’d go to a bank and ask them to give out loans, and they said it would never work, you couldn’t trust the poor people to pay it back. Dr. Yunus said he’d be responsible. And it worked. So the bank said, “well, it’s just one village. Won’t work for two.” So Dr. Yunus made it work for two. Still, “that’s just two. Five villages is different.” So Dr. Yunus made it work for five. Then ten. Then 20. Today, the Grameen Bank has 7.5 million borrowers with 2,515 branches covering 97% of Bangladeshi villages. The microcredit and microlending system it pioneered and perfected is now in action in all corners of the world. 97% of the borrowers are women. And the repayment rate is 99.5%.

A few notes I jotted down:

  • Before Grameen Bank, women made up less than 1% of the borrowers in Bangladesh. But Dr. Yunus and his colleagues saw that money that went to women had better impact than if they gave it to men, so they started to focus on woman. Other microfinance organizations start off with only working with women.
  • The borrowers of the Grameen Bank, the poor people, ARE the owners of the bank too. This was a tough sell to the Bangladeshi government beacuse they couldn’t understand how poor people could own the very bank they use. But it works.
  • The Grameen Bank keeps 50% more cash than the amount of money it has lent out. This is because Bangladesh is a disaster-prone region, so they need to be ready to make loans right after diaster strikes.
  • Dr. Yunus instructed not only the Grameen Bank, but each individual branch to stay self-reliant. They all had to maintain appropriate lending and savings rate.
  • Some people criticized the bank, stating that it was only meant for the ‘entrepreneurial poor’. Dr. Yunus was confused by this, because he said ‘all people are entrepreneurial’. So they tried giving loans out to the lowest section of society – beggers. They told the beggars, “look, you go begging for food or money. I’ll give you a loan, buy something to sell to people too.” So they tried it. They gave some $15 loans to a few hundred beggars (I think). Zero interest, undefined payback period. The one rule was that if they wanted another loan, they would have to pay back the first one. Bah! People said these people wouldn’t possibly pay you back. There are now 100,000 beggars in the system, many of them on the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th loan.
  • 100% of the children of Grameen Bank borrowers go to school, because education is important. These are illiterate families, and sure enough some students were so talented that they shot to the top of the class once they were simply given a chance to succeed. Some 23,000 students of poor, illiterate families are now in college.
  • When some of these students graduated, they went to Dr. Yunus asking for help finding a job. Dr. Yunus said “You come from a Grameen Bank family. You are special. You do not seek jobs. You create jobs.” The graduates said, “but we don’t have jobs to begin with!”  The Grameen Foundation has gone on to start Grameen Phone, Grameen Energy, Grameen Healthcare, etc.
  • Grameen Bank USA opened its first branch in Queens, New York City. People scoffed – c’mon, this is New York City, not some Bangladeshi village! Though the average Grameen loan is $12 in Bangladesh, the average loan in Queen was $2,200 given to 300+ woman. The result? Nearly 100% repayment. It’s universal.
  • Each person has two selves, a selfish self and a selfless self. Business as it is conventionally thought of is purely profit-making, and thus appeals to the selfish self. Social business is one in which the goal is not money, but of social impact and helping other people. Dr. Yunus had a nice way of putting it: in business, profit is the end and money is the means. In social business, social benefit is the end, and money is the means.

It was a thrill to get to see and hear from such an influential man. A gracious, calm, and geninue speaker. The collective respect and admiration for him from the crowd was palpable in the auditorium. For the past 30 years people would say it couldn’t be done, that it couldn’t scale, it wouldn’t be sustainable, it couldn’t possible succeed. And he worked past all of the naysayers. And the results are plain to see. Dr. Yunus said that we each have a small time on this earth, and he would like people to work to be a positive influence on others, for it is what you will really be remembered by.

Comments (1)

Tom Kelley: Staying Young at Heart

Yesterday I attended a talk by Tom Kelley, the author of the bestselling Art of Innovation book and whose brother David Kelley is the founder of the world famous IDEO design consultancy firm. He’s has an effusive personality and is a great speaker. A student went up to him before the talk started and handed him her resume. I overheard him tell her some of the crazy things he has received over the years. One person wrote out their resume and cover letter on a 9 foot long scroll with individually cut out letters. It began along the lines of “Don’t worry, I don’t have anyone hostage but I have a lot of great ideas,” or another one in which a large box arrived at IDEO and they found a square of Parkay wood flooring, half of a door jamb, and an Italian shoe glued to the flooring. A note said “Hi, just wanted to get my foot in the door.”

He began by saying that people need to re-capture that childlike wonder at looking at the world with fresh eyes. He based his talked around 5 habits for staying young at heart:

Think like a traveler.
When you are trying, you are in a hyperaware state — you notice all the subtle differences in the world around you, the coins, the shoes, how coffee is served, etc. If you bring this awareness back to your daily routine, you can find opportunities.

“The real act of discovery consists not in finding new lands, but in seeing with new eyes.” ~ Marcel Proust

Treat Life Like an Experiment
This is about risk. Take them! Success won’t come without taking chances. Regarding  the lightbulb:

“I haven’t failed. I’ve just found ten thousand ways that do not work.” ~ Thomas Edison

Kelley told us about WD-40, the miracle substance known worldwide. The reason for the ‘40′? The first 39 formulas didn’t work.

Nurture an Attitude of Wisdom
Have confidence in what you know, and a slight distrust of what other people are absolutely sure of. There are many instances where people think they really know something, but in fact their belief could be unfounded. He spoke to Best Buy executives about their purchase of this music retailer. This was in 2000-2001, but the executives failed to see the trend among 18-31 year-olds that young people were using this kind called Napster. Their acquisition ended up in a $1 billion loss. Even worse, Best Buy employed the same 18-31 year-olds in their stores, but their insights never made it up to the executives.

Use Your Whole Brain
We use a lot of left-side of the brain, but there is the right-side of the brain which is becoming more and more important. Daniel Pink’s book The Whole New Mind or Guy Claxton’s Hare Brain, Tortoise Mind. He describes the ‘hare brain’ as the rapidly moving, constantly shifting and addressing instantaneous problems. The ‘tortoise mind’ is the one at the lower level, the one that contemplates and ruminates, the ones that result in the ‘eureka!’ moments.

Follow Your Passion
It sounds cliched, but it’s true. “Do what you love, because you’ll become better at it.”

Kelley spoke of something he remembers the management guru Jim Collins (author of Good to Great and Built to Last) said at a talk: there are three circles intersecting ala Venn diagram. One is what you are good at. Another is what you feel you are born to do. And the third is what someone will pay you do. Strive to be in the center.

“The supreme achievement is to blur the line between work & play.” ~ Arnold Toynbee, English historian.

During the question-answer period, someone asked Kelley what project he felt most satisfied with. He responded with the portable defibrillator. Someone had figured out how to miniaturize the technology, but time is of the essence and it had to be dead simple to operate, even in stressful conditions. So IDEO designed a three step interface which his six-year-old daughter could get right the first time without asking questions.

The Innovation Tournament

At the conclusion of the talk  they kicked off this year’s Innovation Tournament, where teams work to create ‘value’ out of everyday objects. First time it was Post-It notes, last year it was rubber bands, and this year it’s: bottled water.

And you all know how I feel about bottled water.

Comments (1)

Deep Thought: New Defense Spending and College

This month’s IEEE Spectrum’s cover article is about the failing of the weapons acquisition process in the United States, and focuses in particular on the massively expensive defense programs that are tangled up in a web of poor management, delays, major cost overruns, questionable utility, and of course political jockeying.

One stat leapt out of the page at me: “The Pentagon now spends $21 million every hour to develop and procure new defense systems.” (emphasis mine)

What does this mean? I did a quick thought experiment in Excel and took a few minutes to get some ballpark statistics on college enrollment and tuition for the US.

$21M per hour  =~ $184 billion per year.

There are ~13 million students enrolled in 4-year and 2-year public universities. With a national average tuition and fees of $11,900 and $4,700 per year respectively, I estimate about $110 billion is spent every year for public colleges. For a 4-year B.S/B.A and 2 year Associate’s degree, it takes roughly $385 billion.

So if we diverted about 2 years worth of the money spent on developing and procuring NEW defense systems, this country could create 13 million college degree carrying young people who will enter the workforce without the burden of debt.

Just a thought.

Comments (1)

« Previous entries